Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:15 • Zira Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.27) 1.52 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.7% 25.8% 48.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 8.1% 12.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZiraQarabag
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack41%76%
Defense65%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zira Qarabag
HATHAT
Played12112313922
Wins42%45%43%62%78%68%
Draws50%27%39%23%11%18%
Loses8%27%17%15%11%14%

Form: Zira: DWWDWDDLWWDWWDLDDLWWLWD • Qarabag: LWDWWWWDWWWWDWLWLWWWDW

League goals

Metric Zira Qarabag
HATHAT
GF total171431252045
GF avg1.41.31.31.92.22.0
GA total1014248816
GA avg0.81.31.00.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZiraQarabag
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%61%86%50%
1.535%35%59%18%
2.513%9%23%5%
3.54%0%18%0%
4.54%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZiraQarabag
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398311
Failed to score235303

Penalties

MetricZiraQarabag
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricZiraQarabag
Wins24
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-26-00-5
Biggest losses1-33-00-22-1
Goals For5365
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricZiraQarabag
Form43%57%
Att35%65%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Qarabag

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away1.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zira = 0.99 (league 1.27), Qarabag = 1.52 (league 1.16)

Qarabag
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zira 0 8.1% 12.3% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.1% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.0% 6.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.7% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 48.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1