Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:30 • De Vijverberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.73) 1.53 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 24.0% 37.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapDordrecht
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack73%33%
Defense47%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Dordrecht
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins47%47%47%33%40%37%
Draws20%27%23%27%33%30%
Loses33%27%30%40%27%33%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDL • Dordrecht: WWLWDDLDDWLLWLDDWLLLLDWWWWWLDD

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Dordrecht
HATHAT
GF total292756202040
GF avg1.91.81.91.31.31.3
GA total252348182139
GA avg1.71.51.61.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapDordrecht
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%87%80%77%
1.563%47%37%37%
2.533%20%17%13%
3.57%7%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapDordrecht
HATHAT
Clean sheets314437
Failed to score145246

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapDordrecht
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapDordrecht
Wins45
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-42-03-43-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapDordrecht
Form56%44%
Att69%31%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h50%50%
Goals55%45%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : De Graafschap or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 188Bet
Draw4.29 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ 188Bet
No2.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 1.53 (league 1.73), Dordrecht = 1.53 (league 1.45)

Dordrecht
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
1 7.2% 11.0% 8.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.5% 8.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 37.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1