Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:00 •
Mkwakwani Stadium
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.37)
0.10 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.6% | 46.9% | 4.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.7%
1 - 0
32.0%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Mtibwa Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coastal Union | 0 | 43.7% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 55% | 45% |
| Defense | 36% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 29% | 11% | 19% | 56% | 0% | 31% |
| Draws | 43% | 33% | 38% | 22% | 57% | 38% |
| Loses | 29% | 56% | 44% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
Form: Coastal Union: WLLDDWDLLLDDLWDL • Mtibwa Sugar: LWDDLDWDDWWWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 56% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 13% | 0% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Coastal Union | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 84% | 16% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Coastal Union or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Coastal Union = 0.73 (league 1.37), Mtibwa Sugar = 0.10 (league 0.94)
| Mtibwa Sugar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Coastal Union | 0 | 43.7% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 32.0% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 46.9% · Away win 4.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1