Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:15 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.39)
0.44 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5% | 18.7% | 7.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Utrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 19% | 25% |
| Defense | 44% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 62% | 17% | 40% | 38% | 9% | 25% |
| Draws | 31% | 17% | 24% | 31% | 9% | 21% |
| Loses | 8% | 67% | 36% | 31% | 82% | 54% |
Form: Ceuta II: LDDWWDDWLWWWLWLWDLLWDLWLL • Utrera: LLLWDLLLWLDLWLDLWWLLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 17 | 10 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 26 | 33 | 16 | 23 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ceuta II | Utrera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 68% | 67% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 40% | 38% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 24% | 8% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ceuta II | Utrera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 51.8% | 48.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Ceuta II or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ceuta II = 1.97 (league 1.39), Utrera = 0.44 (league 1.02)
| Utrera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ceuta II | 0 | 9.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.7% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 7.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1