Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 17:00 • Stade des Rives du Thouet
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.36) 1.01 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 27.7% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Saint-Malo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saumur 0 9.7% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSaumurSaint-Malo
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack100%44%
Defense0%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Saumur Saint-Malo
HATHAT
Played10102010919
Wins50%10%30%70%11%42%
Draws10%50%30%30%33%32%
Loses40%40%40%0%56%26%

Form: Saumur: LLWLLWLWDLDWDDWDLLWD • Saint-Malo: DDDLWLWWLWDWLWDWLWD

League goals

Metric Saumur Saint-Malo
HATHAT
GF total15142921728
GF avg1.51.41.52.10.81.5
GA total13193271118
GA avg1.31.91.60.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSaumurSaint-Malo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%68%68%
1.550%45%42%21%
2.525%20%26%5%
3.55%5%11%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSaumurSaint-Malo
HATHAT
Clean sheets213516
Failed to score437246

Penalties

MetricSaumurSaint-Malo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSaumurSaint-Malo
Wins12
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-00-1
Biggest losses0-35-2—2-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricSaumurSaint-Malo
Form38%62%
Att69%31%
Def15%85%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Saint-Malo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Saumur = 1.32 (league 1.36), Saint-Malo = 1.01 (league 1.03)

Saint-Malo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Saumur 0 9.7% 9.8% 5.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.0% 6.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.7% 3.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 28.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1