Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio El Hogar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.53) 0.78 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 26.7% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.1%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Zap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 10.6% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack41%29%
Defense82%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Deportivo Zap
HATHAT
Played111021111122
Wins73%10%43%36%45%41%
Draws27%20%24%45%0%23%
Loses0%70%33%18%55%36%

Form: Gavilanes FC Matamoros: DLWLWLWLWLDWDLDDWWLWW • Deportivo Zap: LDWDLWLLWWWWLDLWWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Gavilanes FC Matamoros Deportivo Zap
HATHAT
GF total18624182038
GF avg1.60.61.11.61.81.7
GA total51217111526
GA avg0.51.20.81.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%57%73%59%
1.533%10%50%32%
2.510%10%23%27%
3.55%5%14%0%
4.55%0%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
HATHAT
Clean sheets639459
Failed to score178336

Penalties

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
Wins24
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-00-7
Biggest losses—3-12-33-0
Goals For5347
Goals Against1433

Model comparison

MetricGavilanes FC MatamorosDeportivo Zap
Form71%29%
Att58%42%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h13%88%
Goals40%60%
Total53.3%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gavilanes FC Matamoros or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gavilanes FC Matamoros = 1.46 (league 1.53), Deportivo Zap = 0.78 (league 1.16)

Deportivo Zap
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros 0 10.6% 8.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.1% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.6% 4.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1