A-League — Australia
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 08:00 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.54) 0.76 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 27.5% 20.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.3% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack59%24%
Defense59%35%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne Victory Macarthur
HATHAT
Played9112011920
Wins44%36%40%27%33%30%
Draws33%18%25%36%33%35%
Loses22%45%35%36%33%35%

Form: Melbourne Victory: DLWLLLDWWWWLLWLWDWDD • Macarthur: LWDLWLDWDWWDLDWDDLLL

League goals

Metric Melbourne Victory Macarthur
HATHAT
GF total161430151025
GF avg1.81.31.51.41.11.3
GA total91726201131
GA avg1.01.51.31.81.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%75%65%85%
1.545%35%25%40%
2.525%10%10%20%
3.510%5%10%10%
4.55%5%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
HATHAT
Clean sheets235123
Failed to score347437

Penalties

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Wins42
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-36-24-5
Biggest losses0-25-20-42-0
Goals For5365
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne VictoryMacarthur
Form82%18%
Att71%29%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Melbourne Victory or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ 1xBet
Draw4.09 @ Pinnacle
Away4.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ 10Bet
No2.57 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne Victory = 1.40 (league 1.54), Macarthur = 0.76 (league 1.44)

Macarthur
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne Victory 0 11.5% 8.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.1% 12.3% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.3% 8.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 20.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1