1. Lig — Turkey
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 10:30 • Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.33 (league 1.63) 0.44 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.7% 1.6% 0.4%
best score tips
5 - 0
11.2%
4 - 0
10.5%
3 - 0
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hatayspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzurumspor FK 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzurumspor FKHatayspor
Played55
Form80%0%
Attack100%18%
Defense71%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)18 | 3.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzurumspor FK Hatayspor
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins60%60%60%0%0%0%
Draws40%20%30%27%20%23%
Loses0%20%10%73%80%77%

Form: Erzurumspor FK: WDDWDWDDDDWWDLWLDWWWWWWWWWWWWL • Hatayspor: LLDDLDLLLLDLLLDLLDLLDLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Erzurumspor FK Hatayspor
HATHAT
GF total432669101222
GF avg2.91.72.30.70.80.7
GA total101323374582
GA avg0.70.90.82.53.02.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzurumspor FKHatayspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.597%50%57%100%
1.563%20%13%80%
2.530%7%3%57%
3.517%0%0%27%
4.57%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzurumspor FKHatayspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715000
Failed to score0117613

Penalties

MetricErzurumspor FKHatayspor
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricErzurumspor FKHatayspor
Wins120
Draws42
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-3——
Biggest losses—3-10-55-0
Goals For8323
Goals Against3355

Model comparison

MetricErzurumspor FKHatayspor
Form100%0%
Att86%14%
Def74%26%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total63.6%36.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Erzurumspor FK and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ William Hill
Draw17.00 @ Bet365
Away61.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Betfair
No1.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.18 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.74 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzurumspor FK = 5.33 (league 1.63), Hatayspor = 0.44 (league 1.27)

Hatayspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzurumspor FK 0 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.5% 4.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 11.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.7% · Draw 1.6% · Away win 0.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1