Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Juan Antonio Alvarez Rabanal
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.39)
0.35 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.3% | 20.1% | 6.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Siero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 57% |
| Defense | 29% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 75% | 69% | 72% | 42% | 23% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 15% | 20% | 25% | 38% | 32% |
| Loses | 0% | 15% | 8% | 33% | 38% | 36% |
Form: Covadonga: DWDWWWWWLWWWWWDDWWWWWDWWL • Siero: DLLDWLLWWLWDWWWLLDDDLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 34 | 59 | 19 | 13 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 12 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Covadonga | Siero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 52% | 72% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 12% | 44% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 4% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 60.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 2 | 40.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Covadonga | Siero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 76% | 24% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Advice: Winner : Covadonga
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Covadonga = 1.81 (league 1.39), Siero = 0.35 (league 1.13)
| Siero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Covadonga | 0 | 11.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 7.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 20.1% · Away win 6.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1