Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 12:30 • Cegeka Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.46) 1.95 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 21.8% 56.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 5.0% 9.6% 9.4% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.2% 10.2% 9.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.4% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenkSt. Truiden
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack75%100%
Defense42%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genk St. Truiden
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%36%36%71%57%64%
Draws29%29%29%7%14%11%
Loses36%36%36%21%29%25%

Form: Genk: LDLWWDLLWWDDWDLWLDDLLDWWWLWL • St. Truiden: WDWWWDLLLWDLWWWWWLWWWWLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Genk St. Truiden
HATHAT
GF total202040222446
GF avg1.41.41.41.61.71.6
GA total202242161531
GA avg1.41.61.51.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenkSt. Truiden
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%89%82%75%
1.543%43%54%32%
2.514%11%21%4%
3.50%4%7%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenkSt. Truiden
HATHAT
Clean sheets213527
Failed to score314235

Penalties

MetricGenkSt. Truiden
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricGenkSt. Truiden
Wins35
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-33-10-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-32-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against5332

Model comparison

MetricGenkSt. Truiden
Form43%57%
Att41%59%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Genk or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Superbet
Draw3.75 @ 10Bet
Away3.31 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.60 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genk = 1.06 (league 1.46), St. Truiden = 1.95 (league 1.22)

St. Truiden
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genk 0 5.0% 9.6% 9.4% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
1 5.2% 10.2% 9.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.8% 5.4% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 56.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1