Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Campo Sportivo Comunale Villa D'Almè
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.37) 0.75 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.6% 17.7% 10.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla VallePavia
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack46%31%
Defense38%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Valle Pavia
HATHAT
Played131225141226
Wins62%33%48%14%25%19%
Draws23%8%16%36%33%35%
Loses15%58%36%50%42%46%

Form: Villa Valle: WLWDDWLWLLLWLWWWDLWWLDLWW • Pavia: LLWLLLLDDWDDLLDDLLWDDLLWWD

League goals

Metric Villa Valle Pavia
HATHAT
GF total231134151227
GF avg1.80.91.41.11.01.0
GA total122234212041
GA avg0.91.81.41.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla VallePavia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%80%69%73%
1.548%36%23%50%
2.512%12%8%27%
3.54%8%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla VallePavia
HATHAT
Clean sheets415437
Failed to score167538

Penalties

MetricVilla VallePavia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricVilla VallePavia
Wins32
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-34-01-2
Biggest losses0-24-02-53-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricVilla VallePavia
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total56.0%44.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pavia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away4.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Marathonbet
No1.93 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villa Valle = 2.24 (league 1.37), Pavia = 0.75 (league 1.21)

Pavia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Valle 0 5.0% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.3% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.7% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.6% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1