Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Fossombrone
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.31)
0.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.0% | 24.7% | 9.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
16.7%
0 - 0
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sammaurese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 12% | 47% |
| Defense | 76% | 24% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 31% | 31% | 21% | 8% | 15% |
| Draws | 38% | 31% | 35% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 31% | 38% | 35% | 50% | 75% | 62% |
Form: Fossombrone: DDWDDLLLLWWLWWDLWWWDLDDLLD • Sammaurese: WLLLLDLLLLDLLLLLDWDWDLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 7 | 17 | 24 | 22 | 35 | 57 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fossombrone | Sammaurese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 62% | 54% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 19% | 35% | 62% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 12% | 15% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fossombrone | Sammaurese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 76% | 24% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 53.8% | 46.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Fossombrone or draw
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away5.02 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fossombrone = 1.55 (league 1.31), Sammaurese = 0.42 (league 1.18)
| Sammaurese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fossombrone | 0 | 14.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.7% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 9.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1