Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Goffredo Bianchelli
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.31)
1.45 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.7% | 23.2% | 31.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 50% |
| Defense | 57% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 71% | 33% | 54% |
| Draws | 46% | 31% | 38% | 14% | 25% | 19% |
| Loses | 15% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 42% | 27% |
Form: Vigor Senigallia: WDLLLWDWDLWDDLWWWWDWDLDDWD • L'Aquila: DWWWDWLWLWLWWWWLWLWDWDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 28 | 20 | 48 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 10 | 23 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 69% | 92% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 19% | 54% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 27% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | L'Aquila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or L'Aquila
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 1xBet
Away2.35 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Senigallia = 1.74 (league 1.31), L'Aquila = 1.45 (league 1.17)
| L'Aquila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Senigallia | 0 | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.7% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 31.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1