Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 15:00 •
Estádio 11 de Novembro
Expected Goals
3.43 (league 1.22)
0.60 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
best score tips
3 - 0
11.9%
2 - 0
10.4%
4 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Sagrada Esperança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 1º de Agosto | 0 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 45% |
| Defense | 91% | 18% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 75% | 56% | 65% | 42% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 25% | 44% | 35% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% | 60% | 32% |
Form: 1º de Agosto: WDDDWWWDDWWWDWWWW • Sagrada Esperança: DDDDLDWWLDLWWWLWLLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 16 | 33 | 19 | 10 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 20 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 41% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 18% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 0% | 18% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 0% | 5% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | 1º de Agosto | Sagrada Esperança |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 74% | 26% |
| Def | 90% | 10% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 72.2% | 27.8% |
Advice: Winner : 1º de Agosto
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): 1º de Agosto = 3.43 (league 1.22), Sagrada Esperança = 0.60 (league 0.83)
| Sagrada Esperança | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| 1º de Agosto | 0 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.5% · Draw 7.8% · Away win 3.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1