Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Nuevo Ganzábal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.41) 1.29 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.5% 28.9% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Langreo 0 12.7% 16.3% 10.5% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.7% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLangreoUD Ourense
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack55%82%
Defense64%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Langreo UD Ourense
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%23%27%46%38%42%
Draws31%31%31%31%31%31%
Loses38%46%42%23%31%27%

Form: Langreo: DLLDDLLWDLLWLLWDDLDWLDWLWW • UD Ourense: LDLLDDWWWDWWWLLWDWWWDDLDLW

League goals

Metric Langreo UD Ourense
HATHAT
GF total131023151429
GF avg1.00.80.91.21.11.1
GA total151631121426
GA avg1.21.21.20.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLangreoUD Ourense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%81%81%65%
1.523%31%19%23%
2.54%8%12%12%
3.54%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLangreoUD Ourense
HATHAT
Clean sheets415549
Failed to score5611325

Penalties

MetricLangreoUD Ourense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLangreoUD Ourense
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricLangreoUD Ourense
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total54.3%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Ourense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Langreo = 0.78 (league 1.41), UD Ourense = 1.29 (league 1.03)

UD Ourense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Langreo 0 12.7% 16.3% 10.5% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.9% 12.7% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 48.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1