Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio Municipal de Ipurua
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.47) 0.68 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 29.3% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar 0 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEibarBurgos
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack50%29%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eibar Burgos
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins67%7%38%47%43%45%
Draws20%36%28%33%14%24%
Loses13%57%34%20%43%31%

Form: Eibar: DWLWLWDLDLDLWDLLLDWWLDWWDWLWW • Burgos: WDLDWDWLLWWWDWLLLWDLWWLWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Eibar Burgos
HATHAT
GF total25732171532
GF avg1.70.51.11.11.11.1
GA total111930101626
GA avg0.71.41.00.71.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEibarBurgos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%66%62%66%
1.528%24%31%21%
2.514%10%10%3%
3.50%3%3%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEibarBurgos
HATHAT
Clean sheets73106410
Failed to score2795611

Penalties

MetricEibarBurgos
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricEibarBurgos
Wins23
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-15-11-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-23-0
Goals For3153
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricEibarBurgos
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Burgos and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away4.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eibar = 1.28 (league 1.47), Burgos = 0.68 (league 1.13)

Burgos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eibar 0 14.1% 9.6% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 12.3% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1