Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 • Estadio La Rosaleda
Match Finished
5 - 3
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.46) 0.59 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.9% 18.7% 9.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.0%
1 - 0
14.7%
3 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Huesca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 7.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMalagaHuesca
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack57%29%
Defense57%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malaga Huesca
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins60%36%48%40%14%28%
Draws33%7%21%33%14%24%
Loses7%57%31%27%71%48%

Form: Malaga: DWWDLLLLWLWLDLWDDWWWWWWLWLWWD • Huesca: DWWLWLLWLDLLDLWDLWDLLLDWLWLLD

League goals

Metric Malaga Huesca
HATHAT
GF total30144418826
GF avg2.01.01.51.20.60.9
GA total161834162137
GA avg1.11.31.21.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMalagaHuesca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%76%69%72%
1.541%34%21%34%
2.524%7%0%10%
3.53%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMalagaHuesca
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score145279

Penalties

MetricMalagaHuesca
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricMalagaHuesca
Wins62
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-44-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricMalagaHuesca
Form71%29%
Att67%33%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h29%71%
Goals25%75%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Malaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Superbet
Draw3.76 @ 1xBet
Away5.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malaga = 2.05 (league 1.46), Huesca = 0.59 (league 1.12)

Huesca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malaga 0 7.2% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 8.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.0% 8.8% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.3% 6.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.9% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 9.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1