Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:30 • AOK Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.82) 1.34 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.0% 24.9% 33.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 5.7% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.7% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack68%42%
Defense58%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played981710919
Wins67%75%71%60%44%53%
Draws11%13%12%0%11%5%
Loses22%13%18%40%44%42%

Form: VfL Wolfsburg W: DWWWWLWWWLWWWWWDL • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWWWDLWWLLWLLWWLWL

League goals

Metric VfL Wolfsburg W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total213253171229
GF avg2.34.03.11.71.31.5
GA total141226171128
GA avg1.61.51.51.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%94%68%84%
1.582%29%53%42%
2.559%24%21%11%
3.529%6%11%5%
4.518%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011123
Failed to score000336

Penalties

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Wins54
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-84-02-4
Biggest losses1-34-11-52-0
Goals For4844
Goals Against3452

Model comparison

MetricVfL Wolfsburg WBayer Leverkusen W
Form53%47%
Att62%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h71%29%
Goals75%25%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : VfL Wolfsburg W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.41 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.88 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VfL Wolfsburg W = 1.51 (league 1.82), Bayer Leverkusen W = 1.34 (league 1.55)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
VfL Wolfsburg W 0 5.7% 7.7% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.7% 11.7% 7.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.6% 8.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 4.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1