Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 20:15 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.23) 0.87 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.0% 17.5% 12.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.1%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademicaMafra
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack44%25%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academica Mafra
HATHAT
Played111122111223
Wins64%27%45%64%25%43%
Draws27%36%32%27%42%35%
Loses9%36%23%9%33%22%

Form: Academica: LWLWWLWDDDDDDWWDWLWLWW • Mafra: DLWDDWWWWLDDWWWDDWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Academica Mafra
HATHAT
GF total201636171532
GF avg1.81.51.61.51.31.4
GA total8142271926
GA avg0.71.31.00.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademicaMafra
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%68%87%70%
1.545%18%35%26%
2.527%14%13%13%
3.59%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademicaMafra
HATHAT
Clean sheets527617
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricAcademicaMafra
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricAcademicaMafra
Wins24
Draws62
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-44-21-2
Biggest losses0-13-21-24-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricAcademicaMafra
Form69%31%
Att64%36%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h25%75%
Goals41%59%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Academica or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academica = 2.33 (league 1.23), Mafra = 0.87 (league 1.05)

Mafra
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academica 0 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.5% 8.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.1% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.6% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.0% 4.4% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.0% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 12.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1