Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 22:00 • Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Second Half
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.53) 5.59 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.6% 1.7% 49.1%
best score tips
0 - 5
9.5%
0 - 4
8.5%
0 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acatlan 0 0.2% 1.2% 3.2% 6.0% 8.5% 9.5%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcatlanDurango
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack86%71%
Defense0%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Acatlan Durango
HATHAT
Played91221101121
Wins33%8%19%70%91%81%
Draws11%0%5%10%0%5%
Loses56%92%76%20%9%14%

Form: Acatlan: DLLLLLLWLLLLLLWLWLWLL • Durango: WWLWWWLWWWWDWWWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Acatlan Durango
HATHAT
GF total161733233457
GF avg1.81.41.62.33.12.7
GA total1943628614
GA avg2.13.63.00.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcatlanDurango
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%95%90%52%
1.543%90%71%10%
2.529%62%48%5%
3.514%29%33%0%
4.50%19%24%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcatlanDurango
HATHAT
Clean sheets1014610
Failed to score246112

Penalties

MetricAcatlanDurango
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total40

Streaks

MetricAcatlanDurango
Wins14
Draws11
Losses61

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-03-45-01-6
Biggest losses0-35-01-31-0
Goals For4456
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricAcatlanDurango
Form33%67%
Att55%45%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total25.2%74.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Durango and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.50 @ Betano
Draw7.09 @ Pinnacle
Away1.20 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 10Bet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Acatlan = 0.59 (league 1.53), Durango = 5.59 (league 1.16)

Durango
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acatlan 0 0.2% 1.2% 3.2% 6.0% 8.5% 9.5%
1 0.1% 0.7% 1.9% 3.5% 5.0% 5.5%
2 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.6% · Draw 1.7% · Away win 49.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1