Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 19:00 • AFAS Trainingscomplex
Match Finished
1 - 1

MVV

Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.74) 1.22 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.2% 23.4% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJong AZMVV
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack47%35%
Defense47%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jong AZ MVV
HATHAT
Played151631151631
Wins13%44%29%40%19%29%
Draws7%13%10%27%25%26%
Loses80%44%61%33%56%45%

Form: Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLL • MVV: LLWDLLLWDWLWDLLLLDWWLWDLDWLLDDW

League goals

Metric Jong AZ MVV
HATHAT
GF total213152251338
GF avg1.41.91.71.70.81.2
GA total332962253560
GA avg2.21.82.01.72.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJong AZMVV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%87%61%87%
1.552%61%42%52%
2.532%32%16%32%
3.510%19%3%19%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJong AZMVV
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score5383912

Penalties

MetricJong AZMVV
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJong AZMVV
Wins22
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-43-12-4
Biggest losses0-44-12-45-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4445

Model comparison

MetricJong AZMVV
Form44%56%
Att57%43%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Jong AZ or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw5.48 @ Pinnacle
Away6.62 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.78 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jong AZ = 1.77 (league 1.74), MVV = 1.22 (league 1.44)

MVV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jong AZ 0 5.0% 6.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.9% 10.8% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.6% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.6% 5.7% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.2% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 26.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1