Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Yanmar Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.74) 1.43 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.7% 23.1% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.3% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlmere City FCWaalwijk
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Almere City FC Waalwijk
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins53%44%48%44%40%42%
Draws13%6%10%25%27%26%
Loses33%50%42%31%33%32%

Form: Almere City FC: WLLLWLWLLDDLLWWLWWWWWWWLDLLWLWW • Waalwijk: WDLWLDWLWDLWWDLDWLLLWDWDWLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Almere City FC Waalwijk
HATHAT
GF total333164262652
GF avg2.21.92.11.61.71.7
GA total183351242145
GA avg1.22.11.61.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlmere City FCWaalwijk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%77%90%81%
1.561%55%52%48%
2.535%23%16%13%
3.519%6%10%3%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlmere City FCWaalwijk
HATHAT
Clean sheets617336
Failed to score224033

Penalties

MetricAlmere City FCWaalwijk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAlmere City FCWaalwijk
Wins72
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-44-21-4
Biggest losses2-45-21-43-1
Goals For5444
Goals Against4543

Model comparison

MetricAlmere City FCWaalwijk
Form47%53%
Att55%45%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Waalwijk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ William Hill
Away3.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Almere City FC = 1.77 (league 1.74), Waalwijk = 1.43 (league 1.43)

Waalwijk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Almere City FC 0 4.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.2% 10.3% 7.4% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.4% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.8% 5.4% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.7% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1