Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:00 • Seacon - De Koel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.74) 1.08 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.0% 27.4% 30.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.0%
0 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 9.0% 9.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVVV VenloJong Ajax
Played55
Form13%67%
Attack50%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric VVV Venlo Jong Ajax
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins40%31%35%31%13%23%
Draws7%19%13%31%20%26%
Loses53%50%52%38%67%52%

Form: VVV Venlo: LLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWWLLDDWDDLLL • Jong Ajax: LWLDDLLLLDDDLLDLLWLLLWDWLLWDWLW

League goals

Metric VVV Venlo Jong Ajax
HATHAT
GF total172239271744
GF avg1.11.41.31.71.11.4
GA total212748263157
GA avg1.41.71.51.62.11.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVVV VenloJong Ajax
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%81%74%84%
1.535%55%42%61%
2.513%19%16%26%
3.56%0%6%13%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVVV VenloJong Ajax
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score639448

Penalties

MetricVVV VenloJong Ajax
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricVVV VenloJong Ajax
Wins31
Draws23
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-45-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-02-44-0
Goals For4453
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricVVV VenloJong Ajax
Form17%83%
Att29%71%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Jong Ajax

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ William Hill
Draw4.30 @ Betano
Away4.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ Pinnacle
No2.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): VVV Venlo = 1.33 (league 1.74), Jong Ajax = 1.08 (league 1.43)

Jong Ajax
0 1 2 3 4 5
VVV Venlo 0 9.0% 9.7% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.0% 12.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 7.9% 8.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 30.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1