League Two — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Memorial Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.33) 1.43 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 23.3% 31.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBristol RoversShrewsbury
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack89%89%
Defense56%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bristol Rovers Shrewsbury
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%21%30%37%22%30%
Draws6%16%11%26%17%22%
Loses56%63%59%37%61%49%

Form: Bristol Rovers: LLLDWWWWDWLLLLLLLLLLDLLWLLLWWLLLWDWWL • Shrewsbury: DLLLLDWLLLDWWDLWLDDDLLLLWLLDLWWWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Bristol Rovers Shrewsbury
HATHAT
GF total201737181937
GF avg1.10.91.00.91.11.0
GA total273259213758
GA avg1.51.71.61.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBristol RoversShrewsbury
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%81%65%73%
1.530%41%24%49%
2.511%27%11%24%
3.50%11%0%8%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBristol RoversShrewsbury
HATHAT
Clean sheets4378210
Failed to score87157613

Penalties

MetricBristol RoversShrewsbury
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBristol RoversShrewsbury
Wins45
Draws13
Losses104

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-3
Biggest losses0-44-00-35-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricBristol RoversShrewsbury
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h85%15%
Goals100%0%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Double chance : Bristol Rovers or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away3.96 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bristol Rovers = 1.73 (league 1.33), Shrewsbury = 1.43 (league 1.15)

Shrewsbury
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bristol Rovers 0 4.2% 6.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.3% 10.5% 7.5% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 31.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1