League One — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.47) 1.72 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 23.7% 48.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionReading
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack43%57%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Reading
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins39%21%30%47%28%38%
Draws17%37%27%37%33%35%
Loses44%42%43%16%39%27%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWLDLW • Reading: LLLDDWLWDDDLWDWDWLLWWDWWLDDWLWWDDWWLD

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Reading
HATHAT
GF total212041282755
GF avg1.21.11.11.51.51.5
GA total232851222749
GA avg1.31.51.41.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionReading
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%73%89%81%
1.532%43%43%43%
2.511%16%14%8%
3.53%5%3%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionReading
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410527
Failed to score9514134

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionReading
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionReading
Wins22
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-23-1
Goals For5234
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionReading
Form47%53%
Att43%57%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Reading

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.23 (league 1.47), Reading = 1.72 (league 1.13)

Reading
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.8% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.4% 11.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.8% 5.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1