League One — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.47) 1.46 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 25.6% 41.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthStevenage
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack86%43%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Stevenage
HATHAT
Played181937181836
Wins39%47%43%56%33%44%
Draws17%11%14%33%17%25%
Loses44%42%43%11%50%31%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDDWWWDLLWWWLWWD • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLWWLW

League goals

Metric Plymouth Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total243256211940
GF avg1.31.71.51.21.11.1
GA total272653112637
GA avg1.51.41.40.61.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%73%75%64%
1.532%43%28%28%
2.524%19%8%11%
3.514%8%0%0%
4.55%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets46109413
Failed to score459369

Penalties

MetricPlymouthStevenage
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPlymouthStevenage
Wins34
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-52-01-3
Biggest losses1-44-01-23-0
Goals For5523
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthStevenage
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h93%7%
Goals67%33%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ SBO
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.24 (league 1.47), Stevenage = 1.46 (league 1.13)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
1 8.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 41.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1