Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 10:00 •
Toyota Stadium
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.33)
4.46 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2% | 3.5% | 66.3% |
best score tips
0 - 4
11.3%
0 - 3
10.1%
0 - 5
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | 0 | 0.7% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.0% |
| 1 | 0.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Nagoya GrampusWWLLWL
Sanfrecce HiroshimaWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 10% | 90% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.40 @ BetVictor
Draw3.84 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ Unibet
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League standings
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