Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 14:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.30) 0.33 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 28.7% 9.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 0
19.4%
2 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 19.4% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 8.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack100%71%
Defense29%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pogradeci Iliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins62%62%62%50%17%35%
Draws23%31%27%29%50%38%
Loses15%8%12%21%33%27%

Form: Pogradeci: DDWLWLDWWWLWDDWWWDWWDWWWWW • Iliria Fushë-Krujë: LDLWWWDWDDLDDWDLLLLWDWWDDW

League goals

Metric Pogradeci Iliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
GF total22244616824
GF avg1.71.81.81.10.70.9
GA total71623121224
GA avg0.51.20.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%62%69%65%
1.562%23%23%23%
2.531%4%0%4%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
HATHAT
Clean sheets8210549
Failed to score437358

Penalties

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Wins33
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-01-2
Biggest losses2-32-00-23-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricPogradeciIliria Fushë-Krujë
Form58%42%
Att74%26%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals75%25%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Winner : Pogradeci

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Betfair
Draw5.65 @ Marathonbet
Away16.50 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.41 @ Marathonbet
No1.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pogradeci = 1.31 (league 1.30), Iliria Fushë-Krujë = 0.33 (league 1.06)

Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pogradeci 0 19.4% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 8.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.3% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 9.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1