Serie B — Italy
Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:00 • Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.49) 1.37 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 27.4% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 9.7% 13.3% 9.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Avellino Sudtirol
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%20%30%33%20%27%
Draws27%33%30%33%60%47%
Loses33%47%40%33%20%27%

Form: Avellino: LDWWWDDLLDWLLWDLDDWLLWLLLDDLWW • Sudtirol: DWLDWDLDLLDDDLDDDLWWWWDDWLDWLD

League goals

Metric Avellino Sudtirol
HATHAT
GF total191433161531
GF avg1.30.91.11.11.01.0
GA total222547131629
GA avg1.51.71.60.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAvellinoSudtirol
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%83%60%73%
1.530%43%27%17%
2.510%23%13%7%
3.57%7%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
HATHAT
Clean sheets415448
Failed to score56117512

Penalties

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Wins34
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-43-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-00-23-0
Goals For4434
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricAvellinoSudtirol
Form62%38%
Att44%56%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Avellino or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ 188Bet
Draw2.92 @ 188Bet
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ BetVictor
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Avellino = 0.96 (league 1.49), Sudtirol = 1.37 (league 1.09)

Sudtirol
0 1 2 3 4 5
Avellino 0 9.7% 13.3% 9.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 46.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1