Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.48) 1.05 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 34.1% 49.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.0%
0 - 0
21.9%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 21.9% 23.0% 12.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.2% 10.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPotenzaLatina
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack77%54%
Defense69%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Potenza Latina
HATHAT
Played426336
Wins75%100%83%100%67%83%
Draws25%0%17%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Potenza: WWWWWD • Latina: WWWWDW

League goals

Metric Potenza Latina
HATHAT
GF total9211538
GF avg2.31.01.81.71.01.3
GA total404213
GA avg1.00.00.70.70.30.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePotenzaLatina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%100%50%
1.533%17%33%0%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPotenzaLatina
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricPotenzaLatina
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricPotenzaLatina
Wins54
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-12-10-1
Biggest losses————
Goals For4121
Goals Against2011

Model comparison

MetricPotenzaLatina
Form50%50%
Att59%41%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total56.2%43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Potenza or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.49 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Potenza = 0.47 (league 1.48), Latina = 1.05 (league 0.95)

Latina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Potenza 0 21.9% 23.0% 12.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.2% 10.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.4% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 49.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1