Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 17:30 • Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.11 (league 1.11) 0.42 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.6% 8.2% 2.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
14.7%
2 - 0
14.2%
4 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Marumo Gallants
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Played55
Form100%20%
Attack100%44%
Defense67%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants
HATHAT
Played91120101121
Wins89%55%70%20%18%19%
Draws11%36%25%40%18%29%
Loses0%9%5%40%64%52%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWDWWWWWWW • Marumo Gallants: WWLLDDDDLWLLDDLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Marumo Gallants
HATHAT
GF total2113349716
GF avg2.31.21.70.90.60.8
GA total5510111728
GA avg0.60.50.51.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%50%52%100%
1.555%0%19%19%
2.520%0%5%10%
3.55%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610000
Failed to score0223710

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Wins22
Draws14
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-11-3
Biggest losses—1-01-24-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against1124

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsMarumo Gallants
Form83%17%
Att71%29%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution89%11%
H2h71%29%
Goals71%29%
Total76.3%23.7%

Advice: Winner : Mamelodi Sundowns

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ Unibet
Draw6.36 @ Pinnacle
Away17.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.97 @ 188Bet
No1.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 3.11 (league 1.11), Marumo Gallants = 0.42 (league 0.86)

Marumo Gallants
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 9.2% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.7% 6.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 4.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.1% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.6% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 2.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1