Liga Pro — Ecuador
Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 00:00 • Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.34) 0.25 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 33.1% 8.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.4%
0 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 25.4% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Played44
Form58%58%
Attack100%60%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.33 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Libertad Barcelona SC
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%50%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%

Form: Libertad: WDWL • Barcelona SC: WLWD

League goals

Metric Libertad Barcelona SC
HATHAT
GF total325213
GF avg1.51.01.31.00.50.8
GA total134022
GA avg0.51.51.00.01.00.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLibertadBarcelona SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%75%25%
1.525%25%0%25%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Wins11
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—1-0—
Biggest losses—2-1—2-1
Goals For2111
Goals Against1202

Model comparison

MetricLibertadBarcelona SC
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h25%75%
Goals36%64%
Total48.2%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Barcelona SC and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.91 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Libertad = 1.12 (league 1.34), Barcelona SC = 0.25 (league 0.99)

Barcelona SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Libertad 0 25.4% 6.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.4% 7.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 33.1% · Away win 8.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1