Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 17:45 • Groupama Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.57) 1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.2% 19.7% 19.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonCelta Vigo
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack100%70%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Celta Vigo
HATHAT
Played4596511
Wins100%60%78%67%40%55%
Draws0%20%11%17%20%18%
Loses0%20%11%17%40%27%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWWWWD • Celta Vigo: LWWWLLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Lyon Celta Vigo
HATHAT
GF total1091910919
GF avg2.51.82.11.71.81.7
GA total3366713
GA avg0.80.60.71.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonCelta Vigo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%44%100%82%
1.556%22%55%27%
2.522%0%18%9%
3.522%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonCelta Vigo
HATHAT
Clean sheets235112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricLyonCelta Vigo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLyonCelta Vigo
Wins43
Draws01
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-63-10-3
Biggest losses—2-01-23-2
Goals For4633
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricLyonCelta Vigo
Form54%46%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 188Bet
Draw3.55 @ 1xBet
Away3.81 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 2.23 (league 1.57), Celta Vigo = 1.19 (league 1.21)

Celta Vigo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.7% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.7% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.2% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 19.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1