Thu, Mar 19 2026 • 17:45 • Allwyn Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.61) 1.30 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.3% 21.5% 24.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAEK Athens FCCelje
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%55%
Defense64%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AEK Athens FC Celje
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins83%43%62%57%67%62%
Draws17%43%31%14%0%8%
Loses0%14%8%29%33%31%

Form: AEK Athens FC: WDDWDWLWDWWWW • Celje: WLWWWWWLLDWWL

League goals

Metric AEK Athens FC Celje
HATHAT
GF total161127111324
GF avg2.71.62.11.62.21.8
GA total471112719
GA avg0.71.00.81.71.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAEK Athens FCCelje
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%54%77%62%
1.554%23%62%46%
2.531%8%31%23%
3.515%0%8%15%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAEK Athens FCCelje
HATHAT
Clean sheets336235
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricAEK Athens FCCelje
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAEK Athens FCCelje
Wins15
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-43-10-5
Biggest losses3-10-43-0
Goals For6435
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricAEK Athens FCCelje
Form65%35%
Att65%35%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total62.7%37.5%

Advice: Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.29 @ Betano
Draw6.50 @ Bet365
Away11.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.55 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AEK Athens FC = 2.02 (league 1.61), Celje = 1.30 (league 1.18)

Celje
0 1 2 3 4 5
AEK Athens FC 0 3.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 7.3% 9.5% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.6% 6.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
3 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.5% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 24.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1