Wed, Apr 29 2026 • 09:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.67)
4.68 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2% | 3.3% | 62.6% |
best score tips
0 - 4
10.2%
0 - 5
9.5%
0 - 3
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Lambton Jaffas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Adamstown Rosebuds | 0 | 0.5% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Lambton Jaffas carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 54 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Adamstown Rosebuds +16.2, Lambton Jaffas -36.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Adamstown Rosebuds
vs
Lambton Jaffas
Elo gapLambton Jaffas +54
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo2983
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2983
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1447.2 | 1535.8 |
| Form Elo | 1450 | 1514.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1447.8 | 1537.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1511.4 | 1628.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1380.4 | 1511.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +16.2 | -36.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Adamstown Rosebuds last-5 Elo change: +16.2; Lambton Jaffas last-5 Elo change: -36.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 47% | 37% |
| Defense | 53% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
75%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 14% | 17% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Adamstown RosebudsLLDDDLW
Lambton JaffasWDLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 8 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
| GA avg | 2.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 75% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 71% | 63% | 63% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 25% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 25% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-0 | 2-5 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Adamstown Rosebuds | Lambton Jaffas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 13% | 87% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 36.0% | 64.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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