Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 15:15 • Palms Sports Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.27) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 33.9% 33.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.0%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Imisli FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 18.0% 15.5% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNeftchi BakuImisli FK
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack75%0%
Defense58%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Neftchi Baku Imisli FK
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins18%50%35%8%33%21%
Draws55%33%43%58%25%42%
Loses27%17%22%33%42%38%

Form: Neftchi Baku: DDLDWDDDWWLLDLDWDWWWDLW • Imisli FK: LDWWWDLDWLLWLLDDDLDLDDDL

League goals

Metric Neftchi Baku Imisli FK
HATHAT
GF total13203371219
GF avg1.21.71.40.61.00.8
GA total111122161127
GA avg1.00.91.01.30.91.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNeftchi BakuImisli FK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%61%42%58%
1.552%30%25%33%
2.517%4%13%13%
3.59%0%0%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNeftchi BakuImisli FK
HATHAT
Clean sheets4594610
Failed to score5497714

Penalties

MetricNeftchi BakuImisli FK
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricNeftchi BakuImisli FK
Wins33
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-41-00-3
Biggest losses2-32-00-52-0
Goals For5423
Goals Against3253

Model comparison

MetricNeftchi BakuImisli FK
Form77%23%
Att100%0%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Neftchi Baku or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ 188Bet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away6.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.01 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Neftchi Baku = 0.85 (league 1.27), Imisli FK = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Imisli FK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Neftchi Baku 0 18.0% 15.5% 6.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.2% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 33.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1