HNL — Croatia
Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 17:00 • Stadion Aldo Drosina
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.46) 1.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 27.3% 46.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 9.7% 13.3% 9.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack15%38%
Defense38%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Istra 1961 NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Played121426131326
Wins33%36%35%46%31%38%
Draws33%14%23%31%23%27%
Loses33%50%42%23%46%35%

Form: Istra 1961: LDDLWLWDWLWDWLDWWLWDLLLLLW • NK Varazdin: DLDWDWLWLWLDWLDWLLWWWLLDDW

League goals

Metric Istra 1961 NK Varazdin
HATHAT
GF total121931191433
GF avg1.01.41.21.51.11.3
GA total152136181836
GA avg1.31.51.41.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIstra 1961NK Varazdin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%77%77%
1.535%35%38%35%
2.58%15%8%23%
3.54%4%4%4%
4.54%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
HATHAT
Clean sheets224426
Failed to score358246

Penalties

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Wins23
Draws22
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-54-21-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-43-1
Goals For2543
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricIstra 1961NK Varazdin
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total53.2%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Istra 1961 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.13 @ BetVictor
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Istra 1961 = 0.96 (league 1.46), NK Varazdin = 1.38 (league 1.04)

NK Varazdin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Istra 1961 0 9.7% 13.3% 9.2% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 46.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1