Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 12:30 • Nyayo National Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.01) 1.24 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 25.1% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
9.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack50%33%
Defense75%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nairobi United Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
Played101222121224
Wins30%50%41%8%25%17%
Draws30%25%27%42%17%29%
Loses40%25%32%50%58%54%

Form: Nairobi United: WLWLWWLLDWDWLDWDLWDDWL • Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Nairobi United Ulinzi Stars
HATHAT
GF total14132712921
GF avg1.41.11.21.00.80.9
GA total14822161329
GA avg1.40.71.01.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%71%79%
1.527%23%8%33%
2.518%5%8%8%
3.55%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets156235
Failed to score336257

Penalties

MetricNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
Wins22
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-32-01-33-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricNairobi UnitedUlinzi Stars
Form80%20%
Att60%40%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : Nairobi United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.04 @ Marathonbet
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Marathonbet
No1.56 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nairobi United = 1.53 (league 1.01), Ulinzi Stars = 1.24 (league 0.90)

Ulinzi Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nairobi United 0 6.3% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
1 9.6% 11.9% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.3% 9.1% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1