Super League — Kenya
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.24) 0.37 (league 0.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.0% 44.5% 17.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.1%
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 35.1% 12.9% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNzoia SugarMwatate United
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack42%42%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nzoia Sugar Mwatate United
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins25%33%29%25%8%17%
Draws50%50%50%25%25%25%
Loses25%17%21%50%67%58%

Form: Nzoia Sugar: WDDDDDDLWDDWDDWWLDLLWDWL • Mwatate United: LDLLDDWDLLLLLLLWWLDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Nzoia Sugar Mwatate United
HATHAT
GF total7152213518
GF avg0.61.30.91.10.40.8
GA total8816221739
GA avg0.70.70.71.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNzoia SugarMwatate United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%46%46%88%
1.525%21%25%50%
2.58%0%4%21%
3.58%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNzoia SugarMwatate United
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613123
Failed to score84125813

Penalties

MetricNzoia SugarMwatate United
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNzoia SugarMwatate United
Wins22
Draws62
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-11-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-43-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricNzoia SugarMwatate United
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.8%41.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nzoia Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw3.35 @ Betano
Away7.25 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Marathonbet
No1.49 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nzoia Sugar = 0.68 (league 1.24), Mwatate United = 0.37 (league 0.76)

Mwatate United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nzoia Sugar 0 35.1% 12.9% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.8% 8.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 44.5% · Away win 17.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1