3. Liga — Germany
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 13:00 • Carl-Benz Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.65) 1.17 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 19.1% 18.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.4%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waldhof Mannheim 0 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack70%60%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Waldhof Mannheim Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%33%45%27%7%17%
Draws14%7%10%33%29%31%
Loses29%60%45%40%64%52%

Form: Waldhof Mannheim: DLWWLLLWWLWWLLWWWLDLLWWDLWLWL • Erzgebirge Aue: DLWLLLLWWDLDWDDLDDWLLLDDLLLLL

League goals

Metric Waldhof Mannheim Erzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
GF total262147191433
GF avg1.91.41.61.31.01.1
GA total223153242852
GA avg1.62.11.81.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%90%72%76%
1.555%48%28%62%
2.521%28%7%34%
3.53%14%7%7%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
HATHAT
Clean sheets213527
Failed to score347628

Penalties

MetricWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total50

Streaks

MetricWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
Wins32
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-11-34-00-1
Biggest losses0-45-20-34-1
Goals For6342
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricWaldhof MannheimErzgebirge Aue
Form100%0%
Att54%46%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h80%20%
Goals82%18%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Waldhof Mannheim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.16 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.79 @ Pinnacle
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Waldhof Mannheim = 2.30 (league 1.65), Erzgebirge Aue = 1.17 (league 1.36)

Erzgebirge Aue
0 1 2 3 4 5
Waldhof Mannheim 0 3.1% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
1 7.1% 8.4% 4.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 9.6% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 6.3% 7.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.6% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 18.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1