Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 • The Recreation Ground
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.71) 1.04 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.7% 24.1% 23.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 6.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.5% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerswsRhyl
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack32%36%
Defense59%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caersws Rhyl
HATHAT
Played101323121224
Wins40%23%30%58%42%50%
Draws30%8%17%8%25%17%
Loses30%69%52%33%33%33%

Form: Caersws: LWLLLLLDDLDLWLWWWDWWLLL • Rhyl: DWWLWDLDLLLWLDWWLWWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Caersws Rhyl
HATHAT
GF total171532261440
GF avg1.71.21.42.21.21.7
GA total132942232043
GA avg1.32.21.81.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerswsRhyl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%78%79%79%
1.539%61%54%50%
2.517%35%29%29%
3.54%9%4%8%
4.54%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerswsRhyl
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricCaerswsRhyl
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricCaerswsRhyl
Wins32
Draws21
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-33-02-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-56-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3456

Model comparison

MetricCaerswsRhyl
Form33%67%
Att47%53%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rhyl

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.90 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.56 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Betano
Under 2.52.42 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caersws = 1.69 (league 1.71), Rhyl = 1.04 (league 1.50)

Rhyl
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caersws 0 6.5% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.0% 11.5% 6.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.3% 9.7% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 23.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1