Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:30 • Essity Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.27 (league 1.55) 1.77 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.8% 14.9% 17.2%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.7%
2 - 1
6.1%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
2 3.5% 6.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
5 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack43%14%
Defense57%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Penybont
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins54%53%54%36%43%39%
Draws23%33%29%36%14%25%
Loses23%13%18%29%43%36%

Form: GAP Connah S Quay FC: DLWWLDWLDWWWDWWWWWWWWDDDDLLW • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDWLLWLWLDDWDDLDLLL

League goals

Metric GAP Connah S Quay FC Penybont
HATHAT
GF total302656162238
GF avg2.31.72.01.11.61.4
GA total191433123143
GA avg1.50.91.20.92.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%64%64%
1.561%36%36%36%
2.543%11%18%21%
3.511%0%14%14%
4.50%0%4%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets2685510
Failed to score0445510

Penalties

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total70

Streaks

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Wins84
Draws42
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-00-4
Biggest losses1-33-00-26-0
Goals For4454
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricGAP Connah S Quay FCPenybont
Form83%17%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h50%50%
Goals71%29%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : GAP Connah S Quay FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 888Sport
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GAP Connah S Quay FC = 3.27 (league 1.55), Penybont = 1.77 (league 1.36)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
GAP Connah S Quay FC 0 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 2.1% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
2 3.5% 6.1% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.8% 6.7% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
4 3.1% 5.5% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4%
5 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.8% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 17.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1