Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 •
The Brewery Field
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.57)
1.08 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.3% | 23.5% | 23.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.3%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spennymoor Town | 0 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 26% | 21% |
| Defense | 68% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 19 | 36 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
| Wins | 35% | 42% | 39% | 38% | 11% | 24% |
| Draws | 29% | 16% | 22% | 25% | 28% | 26% |
| Loses | 35% | 42% | 39% | 38% | 61% | 50% |
Form: Spennymoor Town: WWLWDLDWWWWLLDWLLDWDDLDLLWLLWWLWLDLW • Alfreton Town: DLLDWLLDWLDLLDWLWLDLDLWLLWDLWWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 26 | 47 | 17 | 15 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 29 | 32 | 61 | 21 | 42 | 63 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 67% | 65% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 47% | 26% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 25% | 3% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 17% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 11% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-4 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 6-0 | 0-3 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spennymoor Town | Alfreton Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Spennymoor Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Spennymoor Town = 1.76 (league 1.57), Alfreton Town = 1.08 (league 1.26)
| Alfreton Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spennymoor Town | 0 | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.3% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 23.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1