Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.53)
0.78 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1% | 16.1% | 10.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
3 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 48% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 73% | 42% | 57% | 45% | 18% | 32% |
| Draws | 9% | 8% | 9% | 27% | 18% | 23% |
| Loses | 18% | 50% | 35% | 27% | 64% | 45% |
Form: Leones Negros: DLDWWLWWLWWWLLWLWWLWWWL • Guerreros: LWLDLWLLWWLWWLLWDDLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 21 | 14 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 17 | 25 | 14 | 24 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leones Negros | Guerreros | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 74% | 82% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 22% | 45% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 9% | 23% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 4% | 9% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 50.00% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 4-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leones Negros | Guerreros |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 66.0% | 34.2% |
Advice: Winner : Leones Negros
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Leones Negros = 2.44 (league 1.53), Guerreros = 0.78 (league 1.16)
| Guerreros | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leones Negros | 0 | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 10.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1