Bundesliga — Germany
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 17:30 • Signal Iduna Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.45 (league 1.59) 0.45 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.7% 13.4% 5.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.5%
3 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hamburger SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 5.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%63%
Defense25%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins77%54%65%36%17%27%
Draws15%38%27%36%33%35%
Loses8%8%8%29%50%38%

Form: Borussia Dortmund: DWWWWDLWWDDWWDWDWWWWWWDLWW • Hamburger SV: DLLWDWLLLDLWWLDLDDDWWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Borussia Dortmund Hamburger SV
HATHAT
GF total30255520929
GF avg2.31.92.11.40.81.1
GA total111526172037
GA avg0.81.21.01.21.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%54%65%77%
1.573%31%31%38%
2.535%15%12%12%
3.54%0%4%12%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412246
Failed to score000459

Penalties

MetricBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
Wins62
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses2-32-10-25-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against3325

Model comparison

MetricBorussia DortmundHamburger SV
Form67%33%
Att71%29%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total74.3%25.7%

Advice: Winner : Borussia Dortmund

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.43 @ 1xBet
Draw5.23 @ 1xBet
Away7.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Borussia Dortmund = 2.45 (league 1.59), Hamburger SV = 0.45 (league 1.43)

Hamburger SV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Borussia Dortmund 0 5.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 7.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.5% 6.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.7% · Draw 13.4% · Away win 5.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1