Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 • The Hybrid Fitness Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.94) 1.25 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.5% 22.7% 25.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sevenoaks Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merstham 0 4.5% 5.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMersthamSevenoaks Town
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack31%35%
Defense73%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.415 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merstham Sevenoaks Town
HATHAT
Played46106511
Wins25%33%30%50%20%36%
Draws75%17%40%0%20%9%
Loses0%50%30%50%60%55%

Form: Merstham: WLWDDDWLDL • Sevenoaks Town: LDWWWLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Merstham Sevenoaks Town
HATHAT
GF total6111711718
GF avg1.51.81.71.81.41.6
GA total51015111223
GA avg1.31.71.51.82.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMersthamSevenoaks Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%100%73%73%
1.550%50%55%73%
2.520%0%27%36%
3.510%0%9%27%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMersthamSevenoaks Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricMersthamSevenoaks Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMersthamSevenoaks Town
Wins13
Draws31
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-43-00-2
Biggest losses—2-11-44-0
Goals For2443
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricMersthamSevenoaks Town
Form63%38%
Att47%53%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h75%25%
Goals68%32%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Merstham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merstham = 1.86 (league 1.94), Sevenoaks Town = 1.25 (league 1.46)

Sevenoaks Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merstham 0 4.5% 5.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.4% 6.5% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 9.6% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.8% 6.0% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.5% · Draw 22.7% · Away win 25.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1