Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 12:00 • Chang Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.06 (league 1.58) 0.58 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 5.0% 1.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
10.9%
3 - 0
10.7%
5 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.8% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
Played55
Form80%33%
Attack100%30%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buriram United Muangthong United
HATHAT
Played121123121224
Wins83%82%83%25%8%17%
Draws8%9%9%25%25%25%
Loses8%9%9%50%67%58%

Form: Buriram United: WWWWWWDWWLWWWWWDWWLWWWW • Muangthong United: WDWLLDDDLLLLWLLLLLLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Buriram United Muangthong United
HATHAT
GF total382765101121
GF avg3.22.52.80.80.90.9
GA total91120202444
GA avg0.81.00.91.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%61%63%75%
1.578%17%25%58%
2.543%4%0%38%
3.526%4%0%8%
4.522%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
HATHAT
Clean sheets549516
Failed to score101459

Penalties

MetricBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
Wins61
Draws13
Losses16

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-52-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-20-53-0
Goals For8522
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricBuriram UnitedMuangthong United
Form71%29%
Att85%15%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total76.2%24.0%

Advice: Winner : Buriram United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ Betano
Draw9.05 @ 1xBet
Away17.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.16 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 4.06 (league 1.58), Muangthong United = 0.58 (league 1.23)

Muangthong United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.7% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 10.9% 6.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 8.8% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 1.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1