Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 12:30 • Merkur Spiel-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.58) 1.87 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.0% 22.0% 60.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.7%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 6.8% 12.7% 11.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.4% 9.7% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack25%56%
Defense75%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf Hertha BSC
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins38%31%35%36%50%42%
Draws23%8%15%36%25%31%
Loses38%62%50%29%25%27%

Form: Fortuna Düsseldorf: LLWDWLWLLLDLWLLLWWLWDDLWWL • Hertha BSC: LDDLWLWWLWWWWWLDDDDDWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Fortuna Düsseldorf Hertha BSC
HATHAT
GF total131124142337
GF avg1.00.80.91.01.91.4
GA total171835151631
GA avg1.31.41.31.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%81%77%58%
1.527%35%50%38%
2.50%12%15%15%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
HATHAT
Clean sheets3255611
Failed to score549516

Penalties

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
Wins25
Draws25
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-22-00-3
Biggest losses0-35-10-25-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricFortuna DüsseldorfHertha BSC
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.48 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fortuna Düsseldorf = 0.82 (league 1.58), Hertha BSC = 1.87 (league 1.32)

Hertha BSC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 6.8% 12.7% 11.8% 7.4% 3.4% 1.3%
1 5.6% 10.4% 9.7% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1%
2 2.3% 4.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4%
3 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.0% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 60.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1