Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Red Bull Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.82) 1.21 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 25.7% 31.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 6.9% 8.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.1% 12.2% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack80%40%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric RB Leipzig W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Played10102011920
Wins30%30%30%64%22%45%
Draws20%20%20%18%11%15%
Loses50%50%50%18%67%40%

Form: RB Leipzig W: WLLLDWLWWLLLLLLDWWDD • SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWLDLW

League goals

Metric RB Leipzig W SC Freiburg W
HATHAT
GF total141832241034
GF avg1.41.81.62.21.11.7
GA total172340151732
GA avg1.72.32.01.41.91.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%90%80%70%
1.560%60%50%45%
2.520%35%25%30%
3.55%10%5%15%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
Wins22
Draws11
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-46-20-3
Biggest losses0-35-01-44-0
Goals For3463
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricRB Leipzig WSC Freiburg W
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals39%61%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SC Freiburg W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): RB Leipzig W = 1.46 (league 1.82), SC Freiburg W = 1.21 (league 1.55)

SC Freiburg W
0 1 2 3 4 5
RB Leipzig W 0 6.9% 8.4% 5.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.1% 12.2% 7.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.9% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.6% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 31.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1