Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Bezirkssportanlage NeckarPark PSV-Stadion
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.98)
1.61 (league 1.62)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 18.1% | 22.0% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stuttgart | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 72% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
60%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 80% | 44% | 63% | 50% | 56% | 53% |
| Draws | 20% | 44% | 32% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 11% | 5% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
Form: Stuttgart: WDDDWWWWWLWWWDDWDWW • Mainz 05 W: LWDWLDLWWWWWWLDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 37 | 25 | 62 | 30 | 18 | 48 |
| GF avg | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 79% | 68% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 37% | 63% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 58% | 16% | 58% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 37% | 5% | 32% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 0% | 16% | 5% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-9 | 7-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 4-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Stuttgart | Mainz 05 W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Stuttgart or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Stuttgart = 2.61 (league 1.98), Mainz 05 W = 1.61 (league 1.62)
| Mainz 05 W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Stuttgart | 0 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 22.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1